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AUD/JPY: Firms Off 2023 Lows, Australian CPI On Tap

AUD

AUD/JPY has firmed ~2% off 2023 lows seen last Thursday at ¥86.06, to last print at ¥87.65/75.

  • Rising US Treasury yields, the 2 Year Treasury Yield is back above 4%, and firmer commodity prices, Iron Ore futures are up ~4% from Thursday, have been the main drivers of the recovery in the cross.
  • The technical trend remains bearish. Bears look to target ¥85.00, a break through here opens the bottom of the bear channel at ¥83.58.
  • Bulls first look to break the 20-Day EMA at ¥88.82 to turn the tide.
  • The next event risk for the pair is today's February CPI print from Australia. The release has been highlighted by RBA Gov Lowe as a key input into next week's board meeting. The market looks for 7.2% Y/Y outcome, the prior read was 7.4% Y/Y.
Fig 1: AUD/JPY Daily Spot/EMAs

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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