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AUD/JPY: Holding Above ¥95

AUD

AUD/JPY printed a fresh year to date high and its highest level since 1 Nov in volatile post FOMC trade yesterday. The pair is holding its gains sitting above the ¥95 handle last printing ¥95.20/30.

  • We now sit ~10% above the low registered in late March, and have sustained the breakout of the ¥88/92 range which persisted for much of 2023.
  • Bulls now target ¥95.99 a fibonacci projection, this opens the high from September 13 ¥98.13.
  • On the downside, bears look to first break below ¥94. From here they can target the 20-Day EMA (¥92.98).
  • Today's Australian May Labour Market Report, the unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 3.70%, and Friday's BOJ monetary policy decision where no change is expected provide further event risk.

Fig 1: AUD/JPY Daily Spot EMAs

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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