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Free AccessAUD/NZD Slips Ahead Of RBNZ, Breaks 100-Day EMA
- The AUD/NZD was lower again on Tuesday, marking the third session in a row of losses. The cross tested 1.0900 overnight before recovering to close the session down 0.26% at 1.0916
- Looking at techs, initial support is 1.0900 (round number support), with 1.0882 (200-day EMA) the next support. The cross broke back below the 100-day EMA overnight at 1.0928, a move back above here would see resistance at 1.0970-80 (50 & 20-day EMAs)
- RBA dated OIS is pricing a 11% chance of a cut in September, down from 16% on Tuesday, with 25bps of cuts into year-end.
- The AU-NZ 2yr swap spread was -5bps on Tuesday at -17bps
- The cross has some large option expiries coming up with $1b call at 1.0950, $774m call at 1.115 expiring on Aug 15th NY Cut
- Today, we have a 2034 bond auction at 11:00 AEST
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.