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Aug Flash PMI: Delta Fears Materializing?

US DATA

US composite PMI slowed much more quickly than expected in August's flash readings.

  • Manufacturing fell to a 4-month low of 61.2 (vs 62.0 expected and 63.4 prior), with Services falling to an 8-month low of 55.2 (vs 59.2 expected and 59.9 prior), leaving the Composite at an 8-month low of 55.4 (vs 59.9 prior).
  • The weaker-than-foreseen report is yet another indication that the Delta COVID variant may be having a negative impact on economic sentiment. From the IHS Markit report: "Capacity pressures, material shortages and the spread of the Delta variant reportedly weighed on the output expansion."
  • The notable mention of Delta multiple times in the report caught the eye, with other August sentiment indicators (regional Feds, UMichigan consumer survey) likewise disappointing amid fears a COVID resurgence could slow the recovery.
  • Apart from that, many of the usual themes in recent months make an appearance: difficulties finding employees, large order backlogs amid supply chain constraints, and higher cost / output inflation.


Source: IHS Markit, MNI

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