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August Export Data Points To Slowing Global Demand

SOUTH KOREA

South Korea's first 20 day trade data for August suggests external demand lost momentum through the month. Exports were up 3.9% YoY (versus +14.5% in July), but on an average daily basis just 0.5% y/y. Chip exports fell -7.5% YoY, while exports to China fell to -11.2% YoY. US export momentum also slowed to just +0.8%. At face value this doesn't paint a great picture for Korea's external demand backdrop, or the global outlook, particularly from a China standpoint.

  • Import growth remain stronger for Korea, running at +22.1% YoY for the first 20 days of the month, leaving the trade deficit at $10.22bn. This should improve for the full month, although clearly remains a meaningful headwind to won performance.

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