October 29, 2024 04:02 GMT
AUSSIE BONDS: Richer But Off Bests, Q3 CPI Tomorrow
AUSSIE BONDS
ACGBs (YM +2.0 & XM +2.5) are richer but off Sydney highs on another data/newsflow light session.
- The move away from session cheaps was aided by cash US tsys, which are ~1bps richer in today’s Asia-Pac session. After a slow start to the week, US data and newsflow are set to heat up with ADP Jobs and PCE Deflator data on Wednesday and Non-Farm Payrolls for October on Friday. There is also a heavy corporate earnings docket. Next Tuesday's presidential election will also likely keep some trading accounts on the sidelines.
- Australian Q3/September CPI data are released tomorrow and will be an important input into the November 5 RBA decision. Headline will be impacted by temporary government energy relief and so the trimmed mean will be the focus. There will also be continued attention on domestically-driven services.
- Cash ACGBs are 3bps richer with the AU-US 10-year yield differential at +18bps.
- Swap rates are 2bps lower, with EFPs slightly wider.
- The bills strip is slightly stronger across contracts, with pricing flat to +2.
- RBA-dated OIS pricing is flat to 3bps softer across 2025 meetings. A cumulative 4bps of easing is priced by year-end.
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