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Aussie Slips On Lingering Defensive Feel

AUD

Defensive flows related to the escalation in Ukraine's clashes with pro-Russian rebels in the Donbas and the West's continued scepticism toward Russian claims of partial troop withdrawal sapped strength from AUD/USD on Thursday. Lingering risk aversion continues to undermine the Aussie dollar, with AUD/USD last seen at $0.7178, 9 pips lower on the day.

  • Note that in the U.S./Asia crossover the Times reported that the UK is now "convinced" that Russian President Putin "has made up his mind to invade Ukraine," which may be amplifying the pre-existing risk-off feel.
  • From a technical perspective, losses past Feb 14 low of $0.7086 would shift focus to $0.7052, which limited losses on $0.7052. On the flip side, a rebound above Feb 10 high of $0.7249 would bring Jan 20 high of $0.7277 into play.
  • Flash IHS Markit PMIs (Monday), completed construction work & wage prices (Wednesday) as well as private capex (Thursday) will take focus on the data front next week. In the meantime, RBA Gov Lowe will speak during the G20 summit tomorrow.

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