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AUSSIE-YEN: Westpac note that "the Japanese yen......>

ASIAN MARKETS, AUSSIE-YEN
AUSSIE-YEN: Westpac note that "the Japanese yen has been quite an unreliable
haven currency this year, which should help limit the downside risk on
traditional risk barometer AUD/JPY as risk appetite gyrates incoming weeks and
months. In terms of containing Covid-19, both Australia and Japan are
outperformers by global standards, although Australia probably has greater scope
for a reopening-driven growth rebound in H2 2020. This outlook reinforces the
RBA's tendency to lean to the optimistic side and should help stem the slide in
AUD's yield pickup. The RBA took a leaf out of the BoJ's book by adopting yield
curve control and after an initial flurry of purchases, it too hasn't needed to
buy aggressively to hit its target. But while the BoJ's JGB purchases remain
sluggish, it has ramped up its balance sheet expansion since March. So the
relative QE trend looks to be supportive of AUD/JPY. We are also more optimistic
about the resilience of iron ore prices, helping offset the damage to Australian
exports from the ongoing travel restrictions. Our baseline forecasts of 74 in
September and 76 by December suggest a preference to buy into dips caused by
swings in global risk appetite, ideally around 72.50."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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