September 19, 2024 02:46 GMT
AUSTRALIA DATA: Job Creation Picking Up Momentum, But Underemployment Rises
AUSTRALIA DATA
Jobs growth printed higher than expected again with 47.5k new jobs in August after 48.9k in July. The participation rate was unchanged at 67.1% and so the unemployment rate was steady at 4.2%. The labour market remains tight and is able to provide work for those who seeking it. Vacancies are down from recent highs but remain elevated. The continuation of this trend means that rates are on hold for now.
- The underemployment rate reflected some minor labour market easing. It rose 0.2pp to 6.5% reflecting that the August job gain was driven by part-time positions (PT) and that PT hours rose strongly. The underutilisation rate was unchanged at 10.6% as the unemployment rate fell almost 0.1pp, when looking at 2dp.
- The unemployment rate printed not far from 4.1% at 4.156% down from 4.236% in July. The youth unemployment rate though rose to 10% from 9.9% and has been trending higher over 2024. The RBA sees it as a leading indicator of the labour market.
Australia unemployment vs underemployment rates %
Source: MNI - Market News/ABS
- Employment growth averaged 48.2k in Q3 to date up from 36.4k in Q2, compared with the labour force average at 56.2k up from 48.4k. Even though full-time jobs (FT) fell 3.2k in August, they have averaged 30.8k in Q3 up from 22.3k in Q2. PT rose 50.6k in August but the Q3 average is up only 17.4k after 14.1k.
- Employment growth rose 2.7% y/y and is showing strong and rising 3-month momentum at 3.6% annualised, highest in over a year. Both FT and PT momentum are also rising.
- Hours worked rose 0.4% m/m in August to be up 1.7% y/y, the highest in almost a year. PT outperformed though rising 1.6% m/m and 5% y/y with FT +0.2% & 1%.
Australia labour market momentum 3m/3m average ann%
Source: MNI - Market News/ABS
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