October 08, 2024 01:55 GMT
AUSTRALIA DATA: NAB Business Survey Price Measures Ease Further
AUSTRALIA DATA
NAB business confidence and conditions improved in September. Confidence was -1.9 up from -4.5, but it has been close to zero for around two years. Conditions have been slowing for around the same time but may have stabilised. They rose over 3 points to 6.9 in September, in line with the historical average. The good news was that price and cost components all eased.
- The improvement in business conditions was driven by trading, profitability and employment, which appears to have also stabilised above zero.
- The outlook remains soft with orders low at only -4.7 but Q3 improved to -4.6 from -7.1 in Q2. Inventories rose in September though which may reduce future purchasing. Exports also deteriorated last month.
Australia NAB business conditions vs orders
Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv
- Only labour costs remained above the series average in September rising 1.7% 3m/3m but down from 1.8%, while the other inflation measures are now in line or below. Purchase costs rose 1.2% down 0.4pp and the lowest increase since February 2021.
- Lower cost pressures are helping to bring price increases down but softer demand also seems to be helping, as NAB price measures rose less than costs. Final product prices rose 0.5% down from 0.7%, also the lowest since February 2021, while retail prices were up 0.5% after 1.2% in August, to be the slowest rate since the Covid-impacted October 2020.
Australia NAB price/cost components
Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv
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