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Average US Gasoline Pump Prices Tick Higher

OIL PRODUCTS

US Gasoline pump prices are edging higher due to current lower supplies and small recovering demand. Future Russian supply uncertainty and the cut to OPEC crude oil production is adding further upside risks.

  • A slight recovery in EIA implied demand has combined with high refinery outages and the falling seasonal trend in gasoline inventories to boost the crack spread in recent weeks. The US gasoline crack has risen from a low of 11.3$/bbl at the start of September back up to the current level of 23$/bbl.
  • US SPR releases have helped bring down the oil price over the summer months but uncertainty over Russia supplies and the 2mbpd OPEC+ production cut for November and December is helping to support prices.
  • The US DOE will still have 15mbbls of the planned 180mbbls withdrawal to be released after the end of October.
    • US gasoline crack down -1.1$/bbl at 23.23$/bbl
    • US ULSD crack down -2.2$/bbl at 65.22$/bbl
    • EU Gasoline-Brent down -0.4$/bbl at 5.32$/bbl
    • EU Gasoil-Brent down -1.8$/bbl at 43.01$/bbl

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