January 22, 2025 11:40 GMT
US TSYS: Back Little Changed Awaiting Next (Political?) Driver
US TSYS
- Treasuries have lifted off overnight lows for back little changed on the day. It’s ahead of a light docket, which could give a little more attention on today’s earnings covering JnJ (announced, adj EPS $2.04 vs est $1.99), Procter& Gamble, Abbott Laboratories, and GE Vernova. MNI EARNINGS CALENDAR. Political headlines are likely in the driving seat though.
- Cash yields 0.3bp higher (3s) to 0.9bp lower (20s) as they broadly consolidate yesterday’s flattening.
- 2s10s at 30.2bps (-0.2bp) compares to yesterday’s low of 28.4bps for lows since Dec 31.
- TYH5 sits at 108-24+ (+01) having lifted off an overnight low of 108-19 but it’s remained well within the week’s range, book-ended by a low of 108-08+ and high of 109-04. Cumulative volumes are modest at 285k.
- The medium-term trend condition remains bearish, with support at 108-00 (Jan 16 low) before a bear trigger at 107-06 (Jan 13 low). To the upside, initial resistance is seen at that 109-04 before 109-06 (Dec 31 high).
- Data: MBA mortgage applications (0700ET), Leading index Dec (1000ET)
- Coupon issuance: US Tsy $13B 20Y Bond re-open - 912810UF3 (1300ET)
- Bill issuance: US Tsy $64B 17W bill & $65B 33D CMB auctions (1130ET)
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