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US OUTLOOK/OPINION

GS: Payrolls Doesn't Change Faster Taper & First Hike In June Call

USDCAD TECHS

Bull Theme Remains Intact

US TSYS

Strong Stocks, Rebound for Oil Weighs on Tsys

EURJPY TECHS

Trend Signals Still Point South

AUDUSD TECHS

Stabilises Off Lows

THB

Spot USD/THB re-opened on a firmer footing this morning, as overnight greenback strength coupled with downbeat comments from the BoT & PM Prayuth pushed the rate higher. It last trades at THB31.438 after printing a fresh cycle high at THB31.452.

  • The BoT's Monetary Policy Report released Wednesday warned that the GDP could shrink 1.7% Y/Y in 2021 in the worst-case scenario, if foreign tourist arrivals don't exceed 100,000. The base-case forecast is for a 3% growth this year, based on the assumption that 3mn (prev. forecast: 5mn) tourists will visit the country. All in all, the document was interpreted as relatively dovish, with policymakers advising the gov't to prepare additional fiscal measures.
  • PM Prayuth expressed a sense of concern with the resurgence of Covid-19 infections in Bangkok and suggested that fresh restrictions might be forthcoming.
  • The University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce will release its consumer confidence gauge later today. Headline index printed at 49.4 in Feb.
  • A Thai virus expert during a presser in the Health Ministry warned against unnecessary travel during the Songkran period, as worries about a potential spike in new infections resurface.
  • USD/THB has approached the 50% recovery of the Apr 2, 2020 - Dec 18, 2020 sell-off at THB31.467 and a break here would open up Sep 28, 2020 high of THB31.745. Conversely, a slide through Apr 1 & 2 lows of THB31.198 would bring the THB31.000 mark into view.
  • On Friday, the BoT will publish its latest update on foreign reserves.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3806 | krzysztof.kruk@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3806 | krzysztof.kruk@marketnews.com