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COLOMBIA: BanRep Board Changes To Be Announced Feb 1, Retail Sales, IP Due Today

COLOMBIA
  • President Petro will publish a decree on February 1 naming the two central bank board members who will be replaced by the two new members who were announced earlier this week. While no final decision is said to have been made yet, a senior official familiar with the discussions has said that the two oldest members of the board, Roberto Steiner and Jaime Jaramillo, may be asked to step down, according to Bloomberg.
  • On Wednesday, academics Laura Moisa and Cesar Giraldo were announced as the new directors of BanRep. BBVA says that the changes are likely to imply a more dovish BanRep, which may favour steepeners and be moderately negative for the COP if BanRep cuts beyond 8%. USDCOP4300 remains a support for now, but there is a bias for 4400-4500 in the medium term, in their view.
  • On the data front today, retail sales and IP figures for November will be released at 1500GMT(1000ET). Analysts expect retail sales growth to slow to 4.6% y/y, from 9.0%, while IP growth looks set to remain weak on the back of a 0.6% y/y contraction in manufacturing output.
    • Nov. Retail Sales YoY, est. 4.6%, prior 9.0%
    • Nov. Industrial Production YoY, est. -0.3%, prior -0.6%
    • Nov. Manufacturing Production YoY, est. -0.6%, prior 1.1%
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  • President Petro will publish a decree on February 1 naming the two central bank board members who will be replaced by the two new members who were announced earlier this week. While no final decision is said to have been made yet, a senior official familiar with the discussions has said that the two oldest members of the board, Roberto Steiner and Jaime Jaramillo, may be asked to step down, according to Bloomberg.
  • On Wednesday, academics Laura Moisa and Cesar Giraldo were announced as the new directors of BanRep. BBVA says that the changes are likely to imply a more dovish BanRep, which may favour steepeners and be moderately negative for the COP if BanRep cuts beyond 8%. USDCOP4300 remains a support for now, but there is a bias for 4400-4500 in the medium term, in their view.
  • On the data front today, retail sales and IP figures for November will be released at 1500GMT(1000ET). Analysts expect retail sales growth to slow to 4.6% y/y, from 9.0%, while IP growth looks set to remain weak on the back of a 0.6% y/y contraction in manufacturing output.
    • Nov. Retail Sales YoY, est. 4.6%, prior 9.0%
    • Nov. Industrial Production YoY, est. -0.3%, prior -0.6%
    • Nov. Manufacturing Production YoY, est. -0.6%, prior 1.1%