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Banxico Raise Rates, Alongside Expectations

MEXICO

Banxico raise rates by 50bps to 7.00%, alongside expectations. The board was not unanimous, with Espinosa voting for a 75bps rate rise today.

Full statement here: https://www.banxico.org.mx/canales/%7BD2A419D2-D38...

Highlights include:

  • Forecasts for headline and core inflation were revised upwards up to the second and third quarter of 2023, respectively, although convergence to the 3% target in the first quarter of 2024 is maintained
  • More forceful measures to attain the inflation target may be considered.

All-in-all an inline with expectations decision, with rates rising by consensus, and inflation forecasts bumping higher. Important to note the convergence estimate was unchanged at Q1 2024 - was some danger of this slipping, and risk of minority of members voting for larger rises materialised. A broadly neutral release and that's reflected in stable MXN - USD/MXN last at 20.3070, flat on the day.


New inflation forecasts here:

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com

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