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Free AccessBarclays Raises 2024 Brent Forecast on Tighter Supply
Barclays raised its 2024 Brent price forecast to $97/bbl, up by $8/bbl previously as market balances are expected to further tighten next year, the bank said in a note.
- The bank lowered its 2023 Brent forecast by $3/bbl to $84/bbl and kept the 4Q23 Brent forecast unchanged at $92/bbl.
- "Slowing non-OPEC+ supply growth, driven primarily by the US, and persistent underproduction from several OPEC+ producers due to structural constraints bolsters our core thesis behind a constructive view on oil prices," the bank said.
- Barclays forecasts a supply deficit of 670kbpd in 2023 and of 250kbpd in 2024.
- "A tussle between key producers and consumers is visible in the G-7 efforts to cap Russian export prices and OPEC+ announcing significant voluntary adjustments to output," the bank said.
- "The urge to keep prices in check is also visible in the tapping of strategic petroleum reserves by the US and other key consumers, the US outreach to Venezuela and a potential informal agreement with Iran."
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.