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Barclays With Above Consensus Call For 100BP Hike

CHILE
  • Barclays call for a 100bp hike as they believe economic activity is not slowing as much as inflation has continued to relentlessly climb. However, they did acknowledge that the outcome of Sunday’s (September 4) constitutional referendum would be key to assess whether the BCCh hikes 100bp or between 50bp and 75bp as expected by the majority of economists.
  • In their view, this time the external sector vulnerabilities will play a more important role in the central bank’s policy-making decisions. This has already pushed the BCCh board to extend its hiking cycle.
  • As a result, with a hawkish Fed in place, and inflation that has not peaked, Barclays believe the central bank needs to act forcefully in order to get inflation back on track, despite the economic slowdown, in which current growth could continue to fuel inflation.

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