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Barclays write "we believe yields will show....>

JGBS
JGBS: Barclays write "we believe yields will show a downside bias until
month-end, driven by a favorable supply-demand balance and the 10-day Golden
Week holiday, but we also see a need to hedge against the risk of JGB yields
rising with global yields over the short term. In order to prepare for this
scenario while also taking a long position in the 20y sector ahead of tomorrow's
auction, it is essential to adjust flexible hedge ratios, in our view. The
results of our principal components analysis (PCA) suggest a JGB 10s20s30s
butterfly trade built with a neutral weighting for principal components to hedge
against the risk of yields rising in the short term could earn income on the
outperformance of 20s. If yields fell, on the other hand, any underperformance
of 20s could be limited by lowering the weight of shorts in the high-convexity
30y sector."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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