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BBDXY Follows DXY In Forming 'Golden Cross'

USD

The broader BBDXY formed a golden cross at yesterday’s close (50-DMA > 200-DMA), following the same technical formation in the narrower DXY in late March.

  • The previous golden cross formation for the BBDXY (Sep ’23) triggered a quickfire 2% rally.
  • The next upside target in the broader BBDXY is seen at the Nov 10 ’23 high (1,269.41).
  • Last week’s U.S. CPI data and related hawkish Fed repricing has provided fresh USD demand (particularly as the ECB is still guiding towards a June rate cut), with elevated geopolitical angst surrounding the Middle East also factoring in.
  • Both the increased threat of and delivered FX intervention out of Asia has provided little counter to the USD rally in recent days, with continued focus on potential PBoC and Japanese actions.

Fig. 1: Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Index (BBDXY)

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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