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Bear Steepening Pre-CPI And 30Y Supply

US TSYS

Cash yields have risen with the curve steepening in the overnight session, with 30Ys underperforming ahead of supply today. Higher-than-expected Chinese inflation data set a bearish tone in Asia-Pac hours, with US CPI eyed warily.

  • The 2-Yr yield is up 3bps at 0.4509%, 5-Yr is up 3.6bps at 1.1169%, 10-Yr is up 3.0bps at 1.4813%, and 30-Yr is up 3.8bps at 1.8553%.
  • The highlight of Wednesday's schedule is the 0830ET release of October CPI. Headline is seen re-accelerating to 0.6% M/M vs 0.4% in Sep, with core up to +0.4% vs +0.2% prior. Additionally we get jobless claims at the same time.
  • 1000ET sees wholesale inventories data, with the monthly budget statement out at 1400ET.
  • The other notable event is $25B 30Y Bond auction at 1300ET. We also get $35B combined in 4-/8-week bills at 1130ET, plus $40B in 119-day bills alongside the 30Y auction.
  • NY Fed buys ~$3.225B of 7-10Y Tsys.

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