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Bearish Engulfing Candle Forms in USD/ZAR, Coalitions Talks Abound

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades +0.05% higher this morning, retracing a portion of last night's post-FOMC rally in EMFX with the USD clawing back some ground.
  • The cross fell -1.13% in yesterday's session, pulling back from 15.50 resistance which has proved sticky in recent sessions.
  • Local elections are set to wrap up today with a substantial decline in support for the ANC to around 46% the notable development - creating scope for widespread coalitions in 52 municipalities.
  • Coalition talks between the DA, ANC, EFF and ActionSA will be interesting to gauge, with ANC-DA partnerships being more market friendly and ANC-EFF more left-leaning and radical.
  • As expected, the Fed initiated its taper with Powell sounding more vocally concerned about inflation - but soothed market expectations with pledges for patience.
  • The large Bearish engulfing candle in USD/ZAR intimates a shift in weak ZAR sentiment, and with the elections partially in the rear-view mirror - the more constructive fiscal picture expected at the MTBPS can come into focus.
  • Intraday Sup1: 15.2120, 15.1089, Res1: 15.3532, Res2: 15.4730

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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