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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessBetfair implied probabilities on UK politics:....>
UK: Betfair implied probabilities on UK politics:
* First to Happen: Brexit/May to leave? May leaving = 96% (was 60% not long ago)
* Meaningful vote to pass in 2019? Yes = 39% (contract low)
* Article 50 To Be Revoked? 30% (though hit contract high of 38% yesterday)
* Will The UK leave the EU on/before Oct 31? Yes = 31% (contract low)
* EU referendum before 2020? Yes = 20% ( near contract low, despite brief spike
to 30% yesterday)
* First to happen - Brexit/General Election? Brexit = 57% (has hovered mostly
between 50-70% for months)
* 2nd Vote of No Confidence In Government In 2019? 53% (contract low)
* No deal Brexit in 2019? Yes = 20% (well up from 10% over past few months)
* Next Conservative Leader - Boris Johnson 37.5% (around contract high)
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.