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$-Bloc: Terminal Rate Seen In 3 Out Of 4


On Friday, U.S. STIR closed with 10bp of easing priced for June having briefly priced a full 25bp cut earlier in the session in the wake of another bout of European bank weakness. Moreover, 95bp of easing was priced for year-end.

  • With the BoC on the tightening sidelines and the U.S. joining AU in pricing no further tightening, RBNZ-dated OIS remains the only market with tightening priced.
  • At the close, NZ STIR had priced 40bp of tightening over meetings to July with 22bp priced for April.

Figure 1: $-Bloc STIR: Terminal Rate Expectations & Year-End Pricing

Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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