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BMO On Refunding: Modest Selling Pressure Consistent W Risk Balance

US TSYS

BMO FICC quick take on today's Treasury Refunding announcement: says while it was in line with expectations, with the presumed next shift in auction sizes to be lower "eventually", "the modest selling pressure in the wake of the announcement is consistent with the balance of the risks".

  • Re the debt ceiling, " Treasury emphasized the difficulty in estimating how long the extraordinary measures will allow for funding and noted expectations for Congress to raise or suspend the debt limit after July 31 -- not news per se."
  • Re SOFR floater: "the prospects for such are dimming the longer the process drags on".

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