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Free AccessBNP: Weak PMIs Won't Deter "Aggressive" BoE/ECB Tightening
BNP Paribas doesn't think today's weak PMIs are a prelude to the BoE and ECB paring back their "aggressive" tightening plans:
- "the direction of travel for growth indicated by today’s data should not surprise the ECB and BoE. Admittedly, we think that realised GDP growth will be even weaker than indicated by the PMI figures which, at face value, still point to growth whereas we expect quasi-stagnation in the eurozone in the coming quarters."
- "However, to the extent that we [do] not expect a significant slowdown in the labour market – as supported by the employment indices in today’s figures which remained relatively resilient – and inflationary pressures are still elevated, we expect central banks to continue in their ‘dash for neutral’ and maintain an aggressive tightening path in the coming months."
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.