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BofA: Deceptive Calm In FX Volatility

FOREX

Bank of America note that “the DXY has caught up with and even slightly exceeded the level implied by its key fundamental drivers.”

  • “This is not yet a contrarian indicator - if anything, technicals could amplify the divergence, in turn leading to a broader rise in short-term FX volatility.”
  • “Low FX volatility, while consistent with low realized volatility in U.S. real rates, may not be sustained as real rates reach fresh highs alongside supply-demand headwinds.”
  • “Equity weakness and a November Fed hike could further contribute to higher FX volatility.”
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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