September 25, 2024 16:38 GMT
BONDS: EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Bellies Underperform
BONDS
Yields pushed higher across the European space Wednesday, reversing most of the prior session's declines as curve bellies underperformed.
- In a session that was fairly light in both meaningful headlines and data, intraday movements were largely flow and supply related.
- Gilts underperformed, with weakness focused in the belly of the UK curve following soft demand at the 7-year auction.
- There was little reaction in STIR futures to commentary by BoE's Greene that suggested she could back a cut in November.
- A large apparent block sale trade in US rates kept pressure on global FI in the European afternoon.
- OAT spreads widened on further fiscal concerns (Finance Minister Armand noting that the deficit could top 6% of GDP this year) - 10Y out 2.4bp vs Bunds. OATS underperformed periphery EGBs, whose spreads likewise finished wider.
- The German curve also saw belly underperformance, in sympathy with Gilts.
- Thursday's calendar includes Italian and German confidence surveys, Spanish retail sales, the ECB's Economic Bulletin, and the SNB decision (Preview here).
Closing Yields / 10-Yr Periphery EGB Spreads To Germany
- Germany: The 2-Yr yield is up 2.5bps at 2.122%, 5-Yr is up 3bps at 1.998%, 10-Yr is up 2.7bps at 2.175%, and 30-Yr is up 1.3bps at 2.492%.
- UK: The 2-Yr yield is up 4.4bps at 3.962%, 5-Yr is up 6.3bps at 3.835%, 10-Yr is up 4.9bps at 3.99%, and 30-Yr is up 5.1bps at 4.566%.
- Italian BTP spread up 1.7bps at 134.9bps / Spanish up 1.5bps at 80.2bps
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