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BONDS: Lower Still, Equity Recovery, Tsy Supply & Quarter-End Flow Eyed

BONDS

Weakness in bonds extends, with previously covered resistance zones (recent session highs/gaps) in the major 10-Year futures holding during the London morning.

  • Headlines remain light, leaving flow and cross-market moves at the fore.
  • A move away from session lows in equity futures factored into the pullback.
  • No meaningful support derived from a downtick in crude oil.
  • Set up ahead of today’s 5-Year Tsy supply cited by some.
  • Also note that J.P.Morgan estimated ~$125bn of global pension fund quarter-end rotation needs (out of bonds and into equities) back on September 13, which could be factoring in. 
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Weakness in bonds extends, with previously covered resistance zones (recent session highs/gaps) in the major 10-Year futures holding during the London morning.

  • Headlines remain light, leaving flow and cross-market moves at the fore.
  • A move away from session lows in equity futures factored into the pullback.
  • No meaningful support derived from a downtick in crude oil.
  • Set up ahead of today’s 5-Year Tsy supply cited by some.
  • Also note that J.P.Morgan estimated ~$125bn of global pension fund quarter-end rotation needs (out of bonds and into equities) back on September 13, which could be factoring in.