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Bonds Recovering

US TSY FUTURES

Long end Tsys have recovered from pre-FOMC minute release lows, moderately higher at the moment, 30YY at 2.3602% after tapping 2.3855%.Quick takeaways:

  • REMOVAL F POLICY ACCOMMODATION IN CURRENT CIRCUMSTANCES DEPENDED ON THE TIMING AND PACE OF BOTH INCREASES IN THE TARGET RANGE OF THE FEDERAL FUNDS RATE AND THE REDUCTION IN THE SIZE OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE'S BALANCE SHEET
  • A NUMBER OF PARTICIPANTS COMMENTED THAT CONDITIONS WOULD LIKELY WARRANT BEGINNING TO REDUCE THE SIZE OF THE BALANCE SHEET SOMETIME LATER THIS YEAR
  • SOME PARTICIPANTS COMMENTED ON THE RISK THAT FINANCIAL CONDITIONS MIGHT TIGHTEN UNDULY IN RESPONSE TO A RAPID REMOVAL OF POLICY ACCOMMODATION
  • PARTICIPANTS AGREED THAT UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE PATH OF INFLATION WAS ELEVATED AND THAT RISKS TO INFLATION WERE WEIGHTED TO THE UPSIDE

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