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AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: Bonds were under pressure in the wake of the latest RBA MonPol
decision, as the Bank failed to allude to a more neutral view on MonPol as it
left the cash rate unchanged.
- The bank trimmed its GDP forecast to 3.0% for 2019 (prev. 3.25%) and a little
below that level in 2020, which will be formalised in Friday's SoMP. The Bank
also noted that some downside risks to the economy have increased, highlighting
uncertainty around domestic consumption owing to lower house prices. The Bank
now looks for 2.0% underlying inflation in 2019, rising to 2.25% next year.
- The Bank noted that the labour market remains strong, with a continued focus
on the 4.75% unemployment rate. The Bank expects a tightening labour market to
lift wages over time, albeit gradually.
- The Bank also tipped its hat to slowing demand for owner-occupier housing
credit, and a period of adjustment in Melbourne & Sydney house prices. - YM and
XM last -1.5 ticks apiece, YM/XM last 49.0, with the cash equivalent at 48.1bp.
Bills now trade unch.-1 tick lower through the reds, unwinding the early bid.
- Focus now moves to an address from RBA Gov. Lowe tomorrow.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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