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Brean Capital head of fixed income...........>

US MBS
US MBS: Brean Capital head of fixed income strategy Scott Buchta noted the MBA
mortgage applications index "fell 4.9% for the week ended Dec. 15, 2017, after
falling 2.3% the prior week."
- "The mortgage apps index is now at its lowest level since 2/17/2017, and this
will be the last MBA data release of the year," he said. "Refinancing activity
was down 3.2% (-2.5% last week) while purchase activity was down 5.5% (-1.1%
last week)."
- He added that "on the week, conventional refis were down 3.22%, FHA refis were
down 10.9% and VA refis were up 6.52% as mortgage rates were slightly lower week
over week (MBA's 30yr rate was down 4bps to 4.16% and the Mortgage News Daily
average rate for the week was unchanged at 3.98%). We continue to believe that
the no-point mortgage rate would need to drop below 3.75% to cause any
significant increase in refinancing volumes (current effective mortgage rate is
4.20%, and a 3.75% effective rate would equate to a sub 1.80% 10yr UST)."

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