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Brexit Hopes Continue to Provide Underlying Sterling Buoyancy

CABLE
MNI (London)
  • Hopes for a Brexit trade agreement continues to provide some underlying buoyancy for sterling.
  • Cable managed to recover off an early Tuesday low of $1.3001 to $1.3080 ahead of the 1600GMT fix before USD demand eased rate back to $1.3046 into the close.
  • Early Asia USD demand, prompted by general risk off and reacting to reports France could move into a full lockdown, saw cable pressed to a low of $1.3021 before buyers emerged.
  • Rate edged to $1.3047, opening Europe extended move to $1.3064 as EUR/GBP felt the weight of general EUR sales.
  • EUR/GBP back below its 10-dma(Gbp0.9061) which if holds keeps sterling buoyant tone in place. Cross traded down to Gbp0.9015.
  • Traders have noted poor liquidity in sterling markets.
  • Month-end value could see US corporate USD demand emerge. Models have suggested USD sales to be seen at Friday's fixes, with cable likely a beneficiary.
  • Light data/speaker calendar for the UK Wednesday. Focus on Brexit headlines, COVID spread and next week's US election.
  • MNI Techs: GBP/USD holding above Monday's low of 1.2993. An extension higher would suggest recent corrective pullback is over. S/T bullish conditions still dominate. Oct 21 rally reinforced a bullish theme, confirming resumption of the upleg since Sep 23. A break of 1.3177, Oct 21 high, would open 1.3269, former trendline support drawn off the Mar 20 low. Sub 1.2993 levels though would resume the recent corrective pullback.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com

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