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BRLJPY Testing 38.2% Fibo Resistance

EM FX
  • Momentum in BRL has accelerated in the past two months amid strong improvements in economic activity.
  • On the other hand, the classic carry JPY has been gradually depreciating in this risk on environment (JPY tends to depreciate when equity rises).
  • BRLJPY has appreciated by over 14% since the middle of April and is currently testing its 21.64 resistance, which represents the 38.2% Fibo retracement of the 17.90 - 27.69 range (2020/2021 high low); a break above that level would open the door for a move up to 22.
  • The retracement could be just technical as 14D RSI has been showing that the pair is currently moderately 'overbought' following the strong rally.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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