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Broad CZK Rises To August 2008 Highs

CZECHIA
  • In recent weeks, we have seen that CZK has been strengthening sharply against major crosses as traders keep chasing the interest rate differential following CNB aggressive tightening cycle.
  • CZK NEER (nominal effective exchange rate) is now trading at its highest level since August 2008 following the significant recent appreciation.
  • CZK strength has been beneficial for Czech policymakers as a strong domestic currency anchors inflation expectations.
  • As CZK is the least risky currency among the CEE region, CEE crosses (vs. PLN and HUF) traded to all-time highs in the end of 2021 before the recent consolidation.
  • As a reminder, both PLN and HUF still carry political risk premia amid on-going tensions with the EU bloc.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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