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Bull Steepening Sees 2s10s At Mid-Nov Highs

US TSYS
  • US Treasuries are holding onto a solid bull steepening, with 2YY -4.5bps and 10YY onwards -0.5-1bp after what had been some sizeable gyrations before and after the 20Y re-open stopped through for the second month.
  • Data implications were mixed, with consumer confidence stronger than expected (but as a result of lowest inflation expectations since Sep’21) and existing home sales sliding even more heavily than expected.
  • The combination sees longer end yields with minimal retracement of yesterday’s BoJ fallout whilst the curve continues to steepen with 2s10s of -53bps at highs since mid-Nov having been -80bps just last week.
  • Tomorrow sees the third release for Q3 GDP whilst weekly jobless claims are of note after recent surprising resilience. Still no Fedspeak scheduled ahead of the Christmas break.

US 2s10s spread (bp) - showing mid not ask pricing per textSource: Bloomberg

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