February 04, 2025 10:30 GMT
EGBS: Bund Futures Below Yesterday's Settlement Levels Alongside USTs
EGBS
Bund futures are 42 ticks below yesterday’s settlement levels at 132.87, with core FI markets unwinding a little of yesterday’s tariff risk-premium following agreements between the US and Mexico/Canada. The reaction to China’s retaliatory actions overnight has been relatively contained.
- Initial short-term support in Bunds is not seen until the 20-day EMA at 132.14.
- German yields are around 4bps higher across the curve, though 10-year yields at 2.423% remain comfortably below Friday’s closing levels of 2.459%.
- 10-year EGB spreads to Bunds are up to 1.5bps tighter, with European equity futures continuing to inch higher.
- The OAT/Bund spread remains above 70bps, with medium-term fiscal and political risks still present despite PM Bayrou looking likely to survive tomorrow’s censure motion.
- Austria sold E1.725bln of 5/15-year RAGBs this morning. We remain on the lookout for syndication announcements from Belgium, Germany and Italy.
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