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BUND TECHS: (Z4) Bear Threat Remains Present

BUND TECHS
  • RES 4: 134.25 High Oct 16         
  • RES 3: 133.54 High Oct 24 and key resistance  
  • RES 2: 132.95 50-day EMA 
  • RES 1: 132.38/74 20-day EMA / High Nov 12                         
  • PRICE: 132.29 @ 05:37 GMT Nov 18
  • SUP 1: 131.28/130.58 Low Nov 14 / 6 and the bear trigger  
  • SUP 2  129.99 1.236 proj of the Oct 1 - 10 -16 price swing              
  • SUP 3: 129.48 1.382 proj of the Oct 1 - 10 -16 price swing
  • SUP 4: 129.08 1.500 proj of the Oct 1 - 10 -16 price swing

Bund futures are unchanged and the contract is trading below its recent highs. Short-term gains are - for now - considered corrective. The trend direction is down and the Nov 6 break to a fresh cycle low reinforces this theme. The 131.00 handle has been cleared, signalling potential for 129.99, a Fibonacci projection. Initial key resistance is 132.38, the 20-day EMA (pierced). A clear break of it would be seen as an early bullish development.

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  • RES 4: 134.25 High Oct 16         
  • RES 3: 133.54 High Oct 24 and key resistance  
  • RES 2: 132.95 50-day EMA 
  • RES 1: 132.38/74 20-day EMA / High Nov 12                         
  • PRICE: 132.29 @ 05:37 GMT Nov 18
  • SUP 1: 131.28/130.58 Low Nov 14 / 6 and the bear trigger  
  • SUP 2  129.99 1.236 proj of the Oct 1 - 10 -16 price swing              
  • SUP 3: 129.48 1.382 proj of the Oct 1 - 10 -16 price swing
  • SUP 4: 129.08 1.500 proj of the Oct 1 - 10 -16 price swing

Bund futures are unchanged and the contract is trading below its recent highs. Short-term gains are - for now - considered corrective. The trend direction is down and the Nov 6 break to a fresh cycle low reinforces this theme. The 131.00 handle has been cleared, signalling potential for 129.99, a Fibonacci projection. Initial key resistance is 132.38, the 20-day EMA (pierced). A clear break of it would be seen as an early bullish development.