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Bundesbank Weekly Activity Index Drops To 5-Month Low

GERMAN DATA

The Bundesbank weekly activity index for the week of April 8 - April 14 (week 15) came in at -0.3 (vs -0.1 prior) and implies a quarterly GDP growth rate of -0.3% in the 13 weeks up to April 14 (on a rolling, 13 week/13 week basis).

  • This is the lowest weekly activity reading since early November 2023.
  • The WAI fluctuates around its long-term mean of 0. Positive values indicate above average growth in real economic activity, while negative values signal a below average increase or a decline in economic output.
  • The index takes into account data on electricity consumption, truck mileage, flight activity, foot traffic, air pollution, credit card payments, as well as German google searches for "unemployment", "short-time work", and "state support".
  • The index is volatile and individual weekly readings should not be taken too seriously in isolation, but given the mixed nature of incoming German economic activity data (see our German Macro Signal publication out last week), we are watching closely for any signs of a clearer direction in growth.


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The Bundesbank weekly activity index for the week of April 8 - April 14 (week 15) came in at -0.3 (vs -0.1 prior) and implies a quarterly GDP growth rate of -0.3% in the 13 weeks up to April 14 (on a rolling, 13 week/13 week basis).

  • This is the lowest weekly activity reading since early November 2023.
  • The WAI fluctuates around its long-term mean of 0. Positive values indicate above average growth in real economic activity, while negative values signal a below average increase or a decline in economic output.
  • The index takes into account data on electricity consumption, truck mileage, flight activity, foot traffic, air pollution, credit card payments, as well as German google searches for "unemployment", "short-time work", and "state support".
  • The index is volatile and individual weekly readings should not be taken too seriously in isolation, but given the mixed nature of incoming German economic activity data (see our German Macro Signal publication out last week), we are watching closely for any signs of a clearer direction in growth.


Keep reading...Show less