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BUNDS: Bund Futures Retrace Overnight Weakness, PMIs In Focus This Morning

BUNDS

Bund futures are 132.30, unchanged versus yesterday’s settlement levels as core FI recovered from yesterday evening’s (post-settlement) lows overnight.

  • First support in Bunds remains at 132.66 (Jul 17 high), with the 50-day EMA providing support at 131.74.
  • Ongoing equity weakness in Asia, partially spurred by weak global tech earnings in the US overnight, aided the recovery in USTs/Bunds.
  • Yesterday’s strong 2-year UST auction helped core FI reach new intraday highs, but that move quickly faded.
  • German GfK consumer confidence was stronger than expected at -18.4 (vs -21.0 cons, -21.6 prior), but was not a major market mover.
  • Germany will return to the market today to sell E5bln of the 2.60% Aug-34 Bund.
  • Today’s July flash PMIs headline the data calendar, with Eurozone focus on the ongoing divergence between manufacturing and services activity.
  • The BoC decision this afternoon will also garner interest, with today’s ECB-speak not expected to move the needle (more in our upcoming EUR STIR post).

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