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BUNDS: Call/Put Skew Fades Further, Despite Dovish ECB Repricing

BUNDS

The latest round of dovish ECB repricing hasn’t generated much in the way of upside demand for Bunds (via options), as fiscal/supply concerns continue to limit rallies/weigh on core global FI long ends.

  • We have already flagged the pressure on German ASWs on numerous occasions, but this dynamic is also observable in the Bund call/put skew (based on 1-month 25-delta options).
  • That measure is on track to close at the lowest level since July.

Fig. 1: Bund Call/Put Skew (1-Month 25-Delta Options)

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The latest round of dovish ECB repricing hasn’t generated much in the way of upside demand for Bunds (via options), as fiscal/supply concerns continue to limit rallies/weigh on core global FI long ends.

  • We have already flagged the pressure on German ASWs on numerous occasions, but this dynamic is also observable in the Bund call/put skew (based on 1-month 25-delta options).
  • That measure is on track to close at the lowest level since July.

Fig. 1: Bund Call/Put Skew (1-Month 25-Delta Options)

Keep reading...Show less