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CAD Outperforms Despite Softer Equities

CANADA
  • USDCAD has now lifted ~20 pips off earlier lows of 1.3574 with a push lower in equities (-0.2%). That is however after clearing support at 1.3594 (Nov 24 low) to open 1.3569/1.3555 (Oct 10 low/1.0% 10-dma envelope).
  • CAD sits top of the G10 FX pack but aside from WTI lifting 1.0%, there aren’t many factors supporting the move, with the S&P e-mini only 1pt off the day’s worst levels and GoCs trading in line with Treasuries.
  • Yesterday’s delayed CFTC data showed a marginal trimming in CAD net shorts to -32% for Nov 21, after two weeks at -34% stopped just shy of the 34.6% seen in early April having last been higher in Jan’19.
  • Today’s local docket is particularly thin, with BoC Executive Director Morrow giving a speech on supervision with text at 1825ET. The USD leg should be the driver, with a heavy data and Fedspeak docket before further Tsy supply.

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