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CAD Reverses Course, USD Shrugs Off Yield Dive

FOREX
  • A more volatile US fixed income market Thursday failed to make any impact on currencies, as the dive in US 10y yields left the USD relatively nonplussed. The USD Index held the morning's losses into the NY close, with prices holding above the key 50-dma support at 91.581.
  • Having traded firmly throughout the first half of the Thursday session, CAD reversed course in NY hours, slipping to the bottom of the G10 pile as markets found support ahead of any test on the key bear trigger at 1.2365. USD/CAD bulls now eye any recovery above the 1.2598 50-dma to secure a more stable outlook, but the picture remains weak for now.
  • CAD was the weakest alongside the EUR, while AUD and NZD outperformed throughout Thursday trade.
  • Focus Friday turns to Chinese GDP data for Q1, with March retail sales and industrial production also due. US housing starts/building permits and the prelim Uni. of Michigan confidence numbers make up the US calendar. Ahead of the FOMC media blackout this weekend, Fed's Kaplan is due to speak.

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