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CAD: RSI Pulls Back Below 70 Before AUD/CAD Reaches Parity

AUD

AUD/CAD has struggled to take out the prior intraday high at C$0.9990, with a contact flagging suspected profit taking ahead of the psychological C$1.0000 figure. The rate last sits at C$0.9968, 18 pips below neutral levels.

  • The recent rally saw the RSI climb above the 70 threshold, indicating overbought conditions. The index has now dipped back below that level, sending a bearish signal.
  • Meanwhile, a bearish divergence has been unfolding in the RSI, as the index failed to print a higher high, even as AUD/CAD punched through the previous cycle peak.
  • Bears look for a deeper sell-off, through the C$0.9822-27 area, which provided support on Feb 15-17. This would open up the 50-DMA at C$0.9805, intersecting near Feb 11 low & round figure of $0.9800.
  • Topside focus falls on the C$1.0000 level would prompt bulls to set their sights on C$1.0243, the high print of Mar 14, 2018.

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