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Caixin PMI Weaker Than Forecast, Back Closer To Official PMI

CHINA DATA
  • Following this week’s official PMI showing Chinese manufacturing is contracting, today’s Caixin PMI Manufacturing showed a similar trend.
  • The Caixin PMI concentrates on private sector manufacturing companies, which tend to be smaller and more export-oriented.
  • Surveys suggested that the Caixin was to show a continued expansion
  • The data release came in at 49.8, much weaker than expected. Output falls to 50.2 vs 54.6 in June.
  • This was the lowest reading since Oct. 2023. The release likely points to a decline overseas shipments
  • Chinese factories have faced growing uncertainty as the EU moves forward on tariffs and the US election looms with the Republican candidate advocating more tariffs and trade protection.
  • Surveys maintained an expected expansion at 51.5
  • This release highlights the challenges to authorities to support the economy.

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