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CANADA: BQ Leader-Trudeau Gov't Remains 'Very Vulnerable'

CANADA
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Speaking to The Guardian, leader of the pro-independence Bloc Québécois (BQ) Yves-François Blanchet has said that PM Justin Trudeau and his minority Liberal gov't "must act swiftly to enshrine protections for dairy farmers and boost payments to seniors to stave off a fatal vote of non-confidence." Blanchet "warned that unless both pieces of legislation are passed into law by 29 October, his party would begin discussions with other parties to trigger a federal election."

  • Blanchet: "We have not had a friendly relationship with the Liberals for the last five years. But we saw an opportunity to pursue issues that were good for Quebecers and also good for Canadians.”
  • Guardian: "Of the two pieces of legislation Blanchet is wielding as a bargaining chip, the 10% increase to seniors’ retirement income would cost C$16bn (US$12bn) over the next five years, according to the parliamentary budget officer, a figure Liberals warned was too costly."
  • The Trudeau gov't has survived two no-confidence votes since the collapse of the confidence-and-supply agreement with the leftist New Democratic Party (NDP) in September, with the NDP and Bloc voting with the gov't and against the main opposition centre-right Conservatives both times.
  • Even if the Bloc were to turn against the gov't, it would still need other parties to vote against Trudeau in order for a no-confidence motion to pass. The Liberals hold 153 seats compared to 152 combined for the Conservatives and BQ. In this scenario the NDP's 24 votes would prove crucial. 
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Speaking to The Guardian, leader of the pro-independence Bloc Québécois (BQ) Yves-François Blanchet has said that PM Justin Trudeau and his minority Liberal gov't "must act swiftly to enshrine protections for dairy farmers and boost payments to seniors to stave off a fatal vote of non-confidence." Blanchet "warned that unless both pieces of legislation are passed into law by 29 October, his party would begin discussions with other parties to trigger a federal election."

  • Blanchet: "We have not had a friendly relationship with the Liberals for the last five years. But we saw an opportunity to pursue issues that were good for Quebecers and also good for Canadians.”
  • Guardian: "Of the two pieces of legislation Blanchet is wielding as a bargaining chip, the 10% increase to seniors’ retirement income would cost C$16bn (US$12bn) over the next five years, according to the parliamentary budget officer, a figure Liberals warned was too costly."
  • The Trudeau gov't has survived two no-confidence votes since the collapse of the confidence-and-supply agreement with the leftist New Democratic Party (NDP) in September, with the NDP and Bloc voting with the gov't and against the main opposition centre-right Conservatives both times.
  • Even if the Bloc were to turn against the gov't, it would still need other parties to vote against Trudeau in order for a no-confidence motion to pass. The Liberals hold 153 seats compared to 152 combined for the Conservatives and BQ. In this scenario the NDP's 24 votes would prove crucial.