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CANADA: Politics Week: Trudeau Survives First Nonconfidence Vote

CANADA
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  • Justin Trudeau's Liberals survived a nonconfidence vote brought last week by Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, who wants a "carbon tax election" as soon as possible. Several more votes are due before Christmas break.
  • The NDP, who recently ended a "supply and confidence" deal with the Liberals, voted confidence in the govt and so did the Bloc Quebecois. All three opposition parties would likely need to combine to pass a non-confidence motion that would trigger a snap election ahead of one due next fall.
  • Bloc Leader Yves Francois-Blanchet said if bills on seniors' benefits and agricultural protections aren't passed by Oct 29 he's likely to seek an election.
  • Parliamentary budget office has said the seniors' proposal would cost CAD16 over 5y, that would by itself likely break the govt's pledge to hold deficits to CAD40b.
  • Capital Economics says election is more likely to come after next spring's budget.  
  • Polling aggregator 338Canada shows Conservatives likely to win a majority government if an election were held now.
  • Sample headline: All the troubles Liberals are facing are self-inflicted (former Liberal cabinet minister Sheila Copps in the Hill Times)
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  • Justin Trudeau's Liberals survived a nonconfidence vote brought last week by Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, who wants a "carbon tax election" as soon as possible. Several more votes are due before Christmas break.
  • The NDP, who recently ended a "supply and confidence" deal with the Liberals, voted confidence in the govt and so did the Bloc Quebecois. All three opposition parties would likely need to combine to pass a non-confidence motion that would trigger a snap election ahead of one due next fall.
  • Bloc Leader Yves Francois-Blanchet said if bills on seniors' benefits and agricultural protections aren't passed by Oct 29 he's likely to seek an election.
  • Parliamentary budget office has said the seniors' proposal would cost CAD16 over 5y, that would by itself likely break the govt's pledge to hold deficits to CAD40b.
  • Capital Economics says election is more likely to come after next spring's budget.  
  • Polling aggregator 338Canada shows Conservatives likely to win a majority government if an election were held now.
  • Sample headline: All the troubles Liberals are facing are self-inflicted (former Liberal cabinet minister Sheila Copps in the Hill Times)