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CAPITAL GOODS: Rexel (RLXFP Ba1/BB+/NR): QXO Bid

CAPITAL GOODS
  • RXLFP is higher today on news of a rejected bid from QXO. Equity takes are rather unanimous in saying the bid undervalues the company. QXO isn’t planning another bid according to Reuters.
  • RLXFP bonds are quoted 30-110c higher this morning, with the lower cash price bonds outperforming. By our calculations a fully cash/debt funded takeover at €28.40 / share would push leverage of the combined group slightly above that of Rexel, pre-synergies.
  • QXO is unrated with no public debt. RLXFP bonds have a 101 CoC clause which could be triggered if bonds are downgraded, or ratings withdrawn on a takeover.
  • The market could also be pricing the prospect of other buyers emerging. The probability of a takeover seems low at this point. In the event, moving parts including funding and ratings impact leave uncertain outcomes for bondholders.
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  • RXLFP is higher today on news of a rejected bid from QXO. Equity takes are rather unanimous in saying the bid undervalues the company. QXO isn’t planning another bid according to Reuters.
  • RLXFP bonds are quoted 30-110c higher this morning, with the lower cash price bonds outperforming. By our calculations a fully cash/debt funded takeover at €28.40 / share would push leverage of the combined group slightly above that of Rexel, pre-synergies.
  • QXO is unrated with no public debt. RLXFP bonds have a 101 CoC clause which could be triggered if bonds are downgraded, or ratings withdrawn on a takeover.
  • The market could also be pricing the prospect of other buyers emerging. The probability of a takeover seems low at this point. In the event, moving parts including funding and ratings impact leave uncertain outcomes for bondholders.