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CBR Governor Says That Inflation Has Accelerated 'Markedly'

RUSSIA
  • CBR Governor Elvira Nabiullina said in a TV interview this morning that inflation in Russia has accelerated 'markedly', and therefore more rate increases may be necessary to curb the inflationary pressures in the coming months.
  • Nabiullina is considering 25bps to 1 ppt increase in benchmark rate, which would bring the benchmark rate up to 6.5%.
  • As a reminder, the CBR has been one of the first central banks to rise interest rates in 2021 among the EM world (major economies) as the weak RUB has been increasing the inflation risk (see chart below).
  • Russia CPI inflation came in at 6% in May, diverging significantly from CBR 4-percent target.
  • CBR long-term forecast for oil prices stands at $50-$55 per barrel.


Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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