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CEE Currencies Retrace Higher Following March Selloff

EMERGING MARKETS
  • Mean reversion in the CEE FX market. PLN, CZK and HUF regain strength this month following a sharp depreciation in March.
  • Most of the FX depreciation last month came from the worsening Covid situation, which eased market's speculation that CEE CBs could hike as early as H2 2021.
  • In the recent policy meetings, CEE policymakers have made it clear that they will keep financial conditions as loose as possible to stimulate growth in the second semester, which has been revised to the downside due to the elevated restrictions imposed by the government in Q1.
  • The chart below compares March changes in the FX market vs. April (up to date).



Source: Bloomberg/MNI

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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