December 20, 2024 00:16 GMT
PHILIPPINES: Central Bank Leaves Rates Unchanged.
PHILIPPINES
- The BSP cut rates at its final meeting of the year in line with market expectations.
- The BSP has moderately raised its 2025 risk-adjusted inflation forecast to +3.4% (from +3.3%), with 2026 maintained at +3.7% y/y.
- The BSP comments suggest concerns as to upside potential for inflation, most notably from geo-political events such as a tariff war.
- For the first time in recent meetings the BSP noted concerns the impact of a weak Peso on inflation (having declined 5% in recent months).
- According to the MIPR function on BBG, there are significant cuts priced into the Philippines bond market.
- As the FED pivots this week, creating doubt as to the path for interest rates globally, the risk for investors next year is the re-pricing of interest expectations.
127 words